5 Reasons Texas Tech Will Win: Nebraska Edition

Reason #1: Who Stops the Red Raiders
I'm looking at the defensive statistics for the Cornhuskers and it's not pretty. Nebraska is 50th in the nation in rushing defense, 97th in the nation in pass defense and 82nd in the nation in total defense. I was pretty pessimistic about Texas Tech's chances against K-State on the road last week, but as well as the offense is clicking, I'm inclined to think that the offense, should, have another stellar day. Although this was mentioned earlier in yesterday's notes, this is going to be Nebraska's first game on the road this year, and that's not a good situation to step in to after, one tough loss, and another blowout. I've always thought that most teams, at home or on the road, will rely on their defense as their constant as the offense can fluctuate depending on game-circumstances, but because Nebraska is struggling defensively I'm inclined to think that Nebraska is going to struggle as well.
Reason #2: Harrell Is On Like Donkey Kong
Over the past two games, incidentally Texas Tech's strongest performances, Graham Harrell has been on fire. Harrell is completing 76.4% of his passes and averaging 9.12 yards per attempt. Compare that to his season statistics, that's a pretty big improvement. For the season Harrell was completing 66.6% of his passes and averaging 8.55 yards per attempt. That's a 9.8% increase in Harrell's passing completion percentage and a 0.57 increase in the yards per attempt. Ten of Harrell's 18 touchdowns have come the last two games. We've said it recently, but it deserves repeating, a diverse offense, both passing and rushing, makes Harrell's life that much easier. With the continued excellent play of Woods and Batch, as well as the emergence of Swindall, Leong, Lewis, James, and Hawk, who add so much to the diversity of the offense , the sky's the limit.
Reason #3: A Defensive Coordinator Who Plays It Smart
I think we've all chastised a Texas Tech defensive coordinator a time or two. It happens. Ruffin McNeill has been the focus of some fans ire for part of this season for giving up too many yards, especially through the air. But I think McNeill has had a different big-picture plan all along. I'm guessing that McNeill knew there would be some rough spots early and the fans wouldn't like the yards given up to the non-conference teams, but perhaps we're now seeing the fruits of his labor? It's actually been pretty interesting to watch as this defense mature through these first 5 games. We've seen the "give, but don't break" method before with varying results and most teams are going to be able to take advantage of that type of conservative defensive play, but perhaps this will pay off in the long run. The Texas Tech defense has been fairly successful thus far with the most basic of defensive packages. I don't think I'm going out on a limb by saying that this defense has more looks than what they're currently showing, but if he can beat an opposing team by just running his base defense, then why not? McNeill has mentioned it many times that he has the Joker package, but we haven't seen a lot of it and he's talked about it since spring practices. McNeill may be waiting for the right time to let things loose and I appreciate his patience.
Reason #4: Offensive Line Is Picking It Up
This one's really pretty easy, the offensive line was outstanding against Kansas State. It seemed like Harrell was rushed a little bit, but for the most part, he had plenty of time to make all of the right throws. Again, it's not just one guy that's making all of the necessary blocks, it's the entire line that is continuing the excellent season from last season. Not to mention, the line is creating holes for Batch and Woods. These guys do as good a job as I've ever seen at sealing the opposing defender to create those huge running lanes and a deep pocket for Harrell to throw. Watch the line on Saturday, it will be a thing of beauty.
Reason #5: The Rotation Is Working
I cannot express how happy I am that the defense has consistently gotten pressure from their first and second team front defensive line. Texas Tech has not had this type of depth, quality depth, in quite some time. Again, credit goes to McNeill for putting Sesay in where he can succeed and see the field. It would have been easy to pigeon hole Sesay at defensive end, but when you watch McKinner Dixon be so successful at defensive end it's foolish not to get the most talented players on the field, which includes Sesay, whether it be at defensive tackle or defensive end. With a second team consisting of Richard Jones, Brandon Sesay, McKinner Dixon, and Daniel Howard, you've got a really talented 2nd group of players, who can still get after the quarterback and have some success against the run. I've probably said this way too many times, probably on this segment last week or the week before last, but having multiple guys who still rush the quarterback and stop the run is going to be huge in conference play.
Hat-Tip to the South Carolina blog, Garnet and Black Attack for the idea.
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Comments
def.
do you think that Ruffin was just testing the waters per say…during the first quarter last week…and that there play in the first quarter was more from the formations than them just not playing hard?….if so do you think he will change his approach for OU and UT?
If you not having fun....then your not playing the game right.
by texastfan on Oct 8, 2008 2:41 PM CDT 0 recs
Formations
Yes…When they changed up the defense and went to more of a nickel package, started playing tighter at the corner, and allowed the line to pass rush, the Tech defense totally shut down KSU passing. By the start of the second half, the game was in the bag, so he went back to the base defense.
I get the impression the McNeil doctrine is to play the most simple defensive scheme possible for the game plan the offense presents, even if it means spotting the other team a couple of scores before he adjusts, and trusts that the Tech offense will keep pace. The base defense seems to be a 4-3 front, cover 2 focused on keeping everything in front of them and not giving up a big play early. For OU and UT, I think he will have to be more aggressive from the get go and less reactive, otherwise we will be putting ourselves at a serious disadvantage.
I wonder if part of it is that through the first part of the season, there isn’t much tape on the teams, so you can’t game plan too much and have to just focus on playing sound fundamentals and making adjustments on the fly. After this weekend, I think the world will know everything in both OU and UT’s play books and should be able to plan accordingly.
by NM99 on
Oct 8, 2008 8:37 PM CDT
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Awesome....
Better hope we don’t catch you on an off night….because losing to a team that ‘sucks’ pretty much guarantees that you suck….
by Husker_Engineer on
Oct 8, 2008 11:10 PM CDT
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Another reason...
Seth yo uonce again hammer the nail on the head but you missed one very obvious reason…
Home Field Advantage
This seaosn our home crowd has not seen a decent opponent and the fact of the matter that it has now been 3 weeks till our last home game…the Jones will be rocking.
I am a college football diehard and have been to some of the greatest venues in all of college football (including almost all SEC schools and Big 12 schools) and it continues to boggle me how the Jones gets passed up as one of the hardest places to play.
In the past 6-7 years of the Leach regime only the 04 Texas game and 03 OU games are games I can recall where Tech truly lost with a hostile, pumped-up crowd.
Last year CU and 06 Mizzou I do not necessarily count because excessive amounts of turnovers deterring Tech’s gameplan.
With Homecoming this weekend and Tech fans anxious to see their top ten team in action, no team could come in and not be rattled.
by mtepper on Oct 9, 2008 12:09 AM CDT 0 recs
I actually thought about
making that a reason, coupled with the thought that this will be Nebraska’s first away game of the season. I could probably put home field advantage every time there’s a home game, but I’m trying to stretch my wings a bit.
Go Raiders . . .
by Seth C on
Oct 9, 2008 5:13 AM CDT
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