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5 Reasons Texas Tech Will Win: Oklahoma Edition

 

 

Reason #1: To Sir, with Love: Ruffin McNeill

I'm not done crushing over what Ruffin McNeill has done for this defense, much like Mark Thackeray helping to mold the lives of those tough inner-city London teenagers. McNeill has taken a defense that had been bad-mouthed for years into, at the very least respectable, and in my opinion, pretty damn good. It has started with McNeill's father-like attitude with his players (I think that the sole reason McKinner Dixon signed with Texas Tech was the strong hand of McNeill) and simplifying the defense. Let these guys play. But it didn't stop there. McNeill has had in-game adjustments as well as game preparations that have not only worked for the most part, but have held opponents to much less than I expected. McNeill and his defense held, Texas to 374 yards (the Longhorns are averaging 471) and Oklahoma State to 368 (the Cowboys are averaging 492).  I'm not real sure what rabbit McNeill will pull out of his hat this week, even if it's the traditional straight-up defense that we've known to both love and cringe at the thought of bending-but-not-breaking, but I'm pretty confident that he knows what will work.

Reason #2:The Strength of Texas Tech's Lines

Dedfischer has already gone into great detail about the matchups along the lines, but I think I'd be completely remiss if I didn't acknowledge that this team is powered by it's strong line play. This offense struggles if the quarterback is under pressure and to date, that just hasn't happened. There's been very little pressure on Harrell in conference play against 3 of the top 5 Big 12 defenses, Texas Nebraska and Oklahoma State. And that's where all of this starts. Leach's vision, along with Matt Moore, was to establish this offensive line early last year, but getting those guys to play, and replacing absolutely no one has paid huge dividends this year. Cohesiveness is a factor that is easily forgotten sometimes with an offensive line, but that's not the case with me. Despite the struggles of Marlon Winn last year, the early injury of Vasquez, and the late season injury of Rylan Reed, this unit is poised to do something that's never been done. The same thing can be said about the defensive line. The starters return from last year's line and the only thing different was that guys matured and talent was added. In fact, it wasn't just talent that was added, it was talent that was ready to contribute immediately (Sesay and Dixon). The long and short of the defensive line is that Colby Whitlock wore down last year and by the time the OU game rolled along, I think he was absolutely gassed, but that was Whitlock's true freshman year. A year conditioning and you have what may be one of the more dominating defensive linemen in the Big 12, possibly in the country -- and he's only a sophomore.  The emergence of Richard Jones, Rajon Henley, the aforementioned Sesay and Dixon and you've got one hell of a recipe of success. Continuity + Talent = Success.

Reason #3: A Healthy Crabtree and Batch

Michael Crabtree hasn't been quite right since he injured his ankle against Kansas and Baron Batch hasn't been 100% with a turf toe problem. But these two guys, perhaps Texas Tech's best playmakers, have had two weeks to get healthy or healthier. At the very least, I think we can expect a 100% Michael Crabtree, which is scary, just ask Texas, and possibly a much improved Baron Batch, although he's going to need an entire offseason to cure what ails him, could be an absolutely huge spark for the Red Raiders.  Not enough has been said about the job that Batch has done thus far on that injured toe, but I get the feeling that you will have to drag him from the field and he is savoring every freaking moment. I would imagine that some players take for granted the gifts that they have to play this game, but I believe the reason that Batch runs so hard and with so much passion is because he loves this game.

Reason #4: The Completion of Graham Harrell

It's taken almost 3 years, but I feel like Graham Harrell may be Captain Leach's greatest accomplishment to date. Leach has molded a quarterback known to be inconsistent for entire games during a season has become the complete quarterback that we've always thought he could be and now is.   Harrell did revert to his bad and old self against Nevada, completing only 41.3% of his passes, a dismal 295 yards and 2 interceptions and 1 touchdown, but that's been the only hiccup. And it was only 2 months ago that we were all scratching our heads and wondering why Harrell was under-throwing long passes with little to no success. But things have changed. In fact, you might say that as the competition has gotten tougher, so has Harrell, and that may have been his biggest knock as a player thus far. I'm not real sure what Leach has done to put Harrell on the track that he's currently on, but it's working.

Reason #5: Because It Is Texas Tech's Destiny

I know, it's a little much, but I believe in this team. It seems hoakey to say it out loud, but it's true. What are the odds that Matt Williams' name gets picked out of some hopper to have the opportunity to kick for free rent? Is it 1 out of 500 or is it 1 out of 1,000? In any event, it's a longshot, in the truest sense of the word. Any 100 untold events could have prevented Williams' name being THE NAME to kick for free rent. But it wasn't. His name was called, and right now, I feel like that Texas Tech's name is being called and the football is firmly on that tee. Free rent is waiting for you, all you got to do is knock down a 30-yard field goal. It's easy.  Hell, even a student could do it without even warming up. This is about opportunity and it's staring your Red Raiders right in the face. I don't think this one is going wide right.

Check back tomorrow for "5 Reasons Why Texas Tech Will Lose: Oklahoma Edition".

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Reason #5: Destiny's child

I believe Tech’s destiny is the National Championship Game in Miami! And I’m not overlooking this game in Norman. It’s just that everything is lining up and pointing to that game. I also know how fickle fate can be and that predicting the future can be be exasperating, but this is Tech’s year.

Wreck’ em Tech!

by faunchin on Nov 19, 2008 12:18 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Have to disagree on #3

To my knowledge, Texas Tech has not had an injury since Leach arrived. What is this about Batch and Crabtree not being 100%? :-P

by djollie111 on Nov 19, 2008 1:23 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

This is about opportunity and it’s staring your Red Raiders right in the face. I don’t think this one is going wide right.

Well done sir!

by djollie111 on Nov 19, 2008 1:26 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

your best work to date...

and I believe that it makes sense to include reason #5 – hokiness and all. The win will come on the field, by players who have this same kind of feeling: that each victory is one more step towards completion of their destiny. We have heard it for years (now I’m going to sound like some Tony Robbins seminar) if you concieve and believe, you can achieve!

The players on this team were talking ‘undefeated’ and ‘national championship’ during Spring ball.

Now if I could make one suggestion. Let’s just forget about any ‘Reasons that ’iOU’ might win… Seth, you have said enough. :)

by natsnagrom on Nov 19, 2008 5:19 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hemingway Smiles

“What are the odds that Matt Williams’ name gets picked out of some hopper to have the opportunity to kick for free rent? Is it 1 out of 500 or is it 1 out of 1,000? In any event, it’s a longshot, in the truest sense of the word. Any 100 untold events could have prevented Williams’ name being THE NAME to kick for free rent. But it wasn’t. His name was called, and right now, I feel like that Texas Tech’s name is being called and the football is firmly on that tee. Free rent is waiting for you, all you got to do is knock down a 30-yard field goal. It’s easy. Hell, even a student could do it without even warming up. This is about opportunity and it’s staring your Red Raiders right in the face. I don’t think this one is going wide right.”

You have never done better.
Don Draper might even make you a partner for this one

VIVA LA FIGA!

by bmaxw on Nov 19, 2008 5:20 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

#5 is nice and all

But we have more to hang our hat on than complete and total irrationality. Observe the OSU game numbers for our point-producing drives:

ToP 2:18 DrvStrt TexT 20 Plays 5 Yds 80 Rslt TD
        4:06 TexT 31 11 69 TD
        6:47 TexT 3 14 97 TD
        3:20 TexT 28 8 72 TD
        3:41 OKSt 48 9 48 TD
        3:34 TexT 20 8 80 TD
        5:17 TexT 4 12 96 TD
        3:08 TexT 26 7 74 TD

That is ball control, my friends. Othordox football philosophy dictates that you can only control the ball by pounding the rock, but clearly that’s not that case. Our longest play of the night was Batch’s 38 yard run, and the longest pass play was Leong’s 28 yard catch. More than any other OU offense in recent memory, this year’s team is dependent upon big plays, and what you see in the above numbers is the key to beating them. Predictably enough in a game involving Texas Tech, the key to victory is playing keep-away, but the surprise twist is that the team that will benefit the most from it is us.

by mojavereject on Nov 19, 2008 7:04 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree. It was meant to be

more emotional and less statistic driven. There’s a lot to like about what Texas Tech brings to the game.

Go Raiders . . .
Double-T Nation

by Seth C on Nov 19, 2008 7:49 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

you're right... Tech has a number of 'rational' reasons to believe that they can win...

but believing that you are fullfilling your destiny is NOT irrational. One of the definitions of destiny is " a pre-determined course of events," and destiny does not have to entail some hocus-pocus or mojo.

This Tech team believes that they can beat anyone, any where. Therefore, they have accomplished maybe the most difficult part of any game: believing in themselves, and picturing the outcomes that they desire – their destiny!

Pure statistical analysis is interesting – but the contest needs to have passion! I’ll take destiny – by whatever name you call it, over an edge in some stat column – any day!

by natsnagrom on Nov 19, 2008 8:12 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

irrationality?

The world of sports in general is irrational, it is the intangables that make it interesting.
With out the irrationality USC would always win.

VIVA LA FIGA!

by bmaxw on Nov 19, 2008 7:53 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I can see your point, but..

I would view uncertainty as a state of limited knowledge where it is impossible to exactly describe an outcome. Thanks to guys like you and Seth there is never a lack of information at TT nation.
In your original post you laid out a perfectly rational key for Tech to win.
I am on board with you on that point.
It is the intangible elements that effect a game that can not be rationally quantified.

Taking the information provided on this game tells me for certain the it is to close to call.
So it comes down to those irrational intangibles.

I am certain Tech will wreck OU, because they are working together better as a team and the are projecting a since of quite confidence that most Tech teams in the past did not have.

VIVA LA FIGA!

by bmaxw on Nov 20, 2008 8:56 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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