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Yes, the early draft is ridiculous:

Thanks, slycanyon, for the inspiration to do a little digging...

“In any case, we believe underclassmen should always stay in school and fulfill their eligibility. History shows that underclassmen that stay in school tend to do better as NFL players, especially quarterbacks—Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Philip Rivers, Jay Cutler, Matt Ryan, and Joe Flacco all played four years of college football. And, there is a long list of college players who came out early and did not do well in the NFL.”

The commissioner acknowledged that “every case is different. Nobody knows the future but I’d point out that there are very few career-ending injuries in this era. The more exposure these players get from big-time college football, to display and refine their skills, is a significant benefit. And, really just their development as men and more exposure in their own college education is part of that maturity process that gives them a better chance for a longer, more productive career.”

NFL commissioner Roger Goodell

The NFL makes no secret of its position on the matter. The league sends a pamphlet to underclassmen considering the draft titled “Stay in School.”

“It’s a sensitive topic,” said Floyd Reese, general manager of the Tennessee Titans. “If you talk to most pro personnel people, they would rather have the players stay in to get the extra year of maturity.”

Even agent (Leigh) Steinberg said, “Virtually any player will benefit from another year in school.”

Personnel directors want to see athletes get bigger and more experienced. They want an extra year to scout before making that million-dollar draft choice.

Lofa Tatupu heard no shortage of opinions when he was considering an early departure from USC last spring.

Teammates supported the linebacker, but nearly everyone else advised him to wait, saying that he would go in the fourth or fifth round, that he could play his way up to a more lucrative spot with another year of college. (Pete)Carroll, who has been forceful about players staying in school, echoed this message.

“He was just being real with me,” Tatupu said. “He told me what he had heard. He told me, as a man, how he felt personally.”

Tatupu ultimately decided to turn pro to help his family. He realizes this decision might have cost him millions.

Selected in the second round, higher than predicted, he received less than $2 million guaranteed. Some NFL experts believe that had he played his senior season, he would have been a first-round selection and earned twice as much.

Tatupu might squeeze another NFL year into his shelf life as a player, which could mean an extra contract renegotiation down the line. But, as (Gil) Brandt points out, underclassmen drafted down the board probably won’t recoup the guaranteed money they might have lost by coming out early.

The LA Times

 

Michael, maybe you should re-think this...

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Double-T Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Double-T Nation's writers or editors.

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nice find.

by kayakyakr on Jan 12, 2009 3:38 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I agree…but boy, that guaranteed bonus money would be VERY tough to turn down as a 21-year-old. I recall when I was that age, figuring out what I was doing the next weekend was tough enough, much less deciding on the next 10 years – because there’s no turning back.

by Tech92 on Jan 12, 2009 5:26 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

very tough to turn down, but until 2011 (at the latest), it’s been historically proven that the longer you stay in school the more money you will make in the long-term. Someone needs to do all the research and make the report to convince these players (that are leaving from our team, of course) of this.

by kayakyakr on Jan 12, 2009 6:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Crabtree is a Top 10 pick, probably Top 5. While he’d make more money by waiting a year, I understand him bolting.

Now, Brian Williams, that I don’t understand. Next year, he could play his way into the first day. As it is, he was told he was projected as a third-rounder, which I just don’t believe at this point.

Really, Tech will be fine without Crabtree. The loss of Williams will make a much more significant impact, I believe.

After all is said and done, more is said than done.

by ayleein on Jan 13, 2009 12:47 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Clearly, I’m tired. I meant Brandon Williams.

After all is said and done, more is said than done.

by ayleein on Jan 13, 2009 12:49 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Crabtree should go. His draft status cannot get much higher. And if that ol’ ankle lingers next year in college, people will start having questions. MIght as well make some big bucks now. And I agree, B. Williams can only gain by staying another year and getting another year of experience.

by pcrawttu on Jan 13, 2009 11:18 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

      I would rather have Williams back on def., than the Crab on offense

by DR.MARK on Jan 14, 2009 11:22 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I understand

if a guy is projected to go in the first round that he would opt for the early draft. Moving up is difficult, and there is always the possibility that someone could catch you from behind the next year. Late 1st round/early 2nd round is a toss up. Any lower than that (unless there are academic eligibility issues) and it doesn’t make sense.

I predict that the number of players leaving early will continue to increase in the coming years, much like basketball. I also predict that, from a recruiting standpoint, college teams willing to take in a top recruit and give him playing time early, knowing that he may bolt after 3 years, will stand a better chance of landing said recruits…especially if they are questionable academically.

by NM99 on Jan 16, 2009 9:28 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

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