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Crunching the Numbers :: Oklahoma Sooners Edition


Oklahoma Sooners
(6-4, 4-2)




vs.

 

Game Information:
Date: November 21, 2009 :: Time: 11:30 a.m. CST :: Weather: Lubbock, TX
TV: FSN :: Radio: Affiliates :: Game Cast: Fox Sports

 

A little short on time this week, but I thought at the very least I'd throw up a few stats and let you guys share some thoughts about some of the potential matchups. You can find all of the NCAA stats on both teams here: Texas Tech and Oklahoma.

CATEGORY STATISTIC (NCAA RANK, CONF. RANK) WINNER
TTU Pass Offense
vs.
OU Pass Defense
391.10 (2, 1)

178.40 (18, 1)
TTU Rush Offense
vs.
OU Rush Defense
71.20 (117, 12)

84.00 (5, 2)
OU Pass Offense
vs.
TTU Pass Defense
285.60 (15, 3)

218.50 (63, 5)
OU Rush Offense
vs.
TTU Rush Defense
150.00 (58, 7)

134.80 (53, 8)
TTU Scoring Offense
vs.
OU Scoring Defense
37.90 (7, 2)

12.10 (5, 2)
OU Scoring Offense
vs.
TTU Scoring Defense
33.30 (16, 3)

23.50 (54, 7)


Five Initial Thoughts

One :: Stout Pass Rush: Somewhat strange in that Texas Tech and OU are tied for 2nd in the nation in total sacks. OU's defense is better across the board, but it's interesting to me to see these two teams have success getting to the quarterback.

Two :: Which QB: OU's Landry Jones went from throwing 5 interceptions against Nebraska to throwing 5 touchdowns against Texas A&M. I didn't see the TAMU game, but I'd guess that the biggest reason why Jones struggled was the pass rush (see item 1 above).

Three :: Scoring Defense: It may have been this time last year when the OU scoring defense was actually ranked higher than the Texas Tech offense. It's not by much, but 12 points a game is downright scary.

Four :: 3rd Down Conversions: Prior to the Nebraska (7.14%) and TAMU (27.27%) games, the OU defense gave up a 3rd down conversion rate of 41.18% against Kansas and a 50.00% rate against Kansas St. The Kansas St. game being relatively close. The Texas Tech converted only 4 of 13 3rd downs on Saturday and I think we can all agree that OU will be bringing all kinds of pressure on 3rd downs on Saturday.

Five :: Turnovers: This is easy. When Oklahoma loses the turnover battle, it's a loss (Texas and Nebraska) while Texas Tech is winning despite being in the red in turnover margin almost every game: Rice, Kansas St., Nebraska and Kansas are the exceptions.

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Five Initial Thoughts from FT hood

One :: Stout Pass Rush: Somewhat strange in that Texas Tech and OU are tied for 2nd … in the nation..
Have to agree Set .. the Raider def end and Def tackle rotation is pretty good. I guess I expected Coach Sadler to get a good solid product from these guys. Howard and Sharpe showed flashes of really solid play in 07 and 08. And in fact the old adage of addition by subtraction describes this situation. The media pundits all started the season saying " well they will never replace the sack production for M. Dixon and B. Williams.." I felt watching the two starters that they were chomping at the bit to play. The loss of Sandy Riley and B. Sesay hurt. The addition of Henley as def end helped. Ie 4 – 5 sacks for him alone? The nose and Def Tackle positions really are better than advertised and generally we just want them to stuff up the middle and keep the linebackers free. The thing that goes a bit unnoticed from those down lineman is the tackles for a loss. Tech D linemen have over 35 so far in the 09 campaign? The addition of solid to above average play by the linebackers adds into equation because it goes to taking options from the offense.

Two :: Which QB: OU’s Landry Jones went from throwing 5 interceptions against Nebraska to throwing 5 touchdowns against Texas A&M…
Watched both games and that’s exactly accurate. L. Jones wasn’t hurried by the TAMU down linemen he was slapped at least 6 times by Nebraska. And the Sooner O line did pretty well.

Three :: Scoring Defense: It may have been this time last year when the OU scoring defense was actually ranked higher than the Texas Tech offense. …
I think it’s more along these lines. Tech offense is a slice and dice operation. Catch passes, run draws and shovels. Never let the defense out number you at the point of attack. Find the mismatch and expose somebody for yards by Raider skill folks. The losses come when the opposing defense starts tackling in space or getting pass break ups or we have drops. The accuracy thing with the QB is not really an issue in that all the Leach QB’s are accurate that’s what they do. Leach has said it’s not required to have a rifle arm. Just put the ball out in the same place where they receiver can get his hands on it. 90 % of the time if a guy coached by L. Riley or D. Simmons gets their hands on it they come down with it. The rub is when the thrower is being disrupted and the receiver is not getting that 3 foot cone of excellence where the ball should be at every time – I.e. how they practiced it. Examples of def.disruption include TCU 06, Colorado 07, Gator Bowl 08, OU 08, Cotton Bowl 09.

Four :: 3rd Down Conversions: Prior to the Nebraska (7.14%) and TAMU (27.27%) games, the OU defense gave up a 3rd down conversion rate of 41.18%…
A very telling statistic since it’s what defensive coordinators ultimately get graded on. Look at the top 25 college def coordinators all of them have a defense which routinely keeps the opposing offense from converting 3rd downs. It’s a mark of honor for those that make their living throttling offenses.. Force punts or FG’s. Get the defense off the field. BTW twice the Raider defense got OSU into punting situations and twice we hit their punter trying to make the game changer special teams play. That the Raider special teamers even got that close is encouraging to me. But that’s another topic for another day.

Five :: Turnovers: This is easy. When Oklahoma loses the turnover battle, it’s a loss (Texas and Nebraska) while Texas Tech is winning despite being in the red in turnover margin…
Here is where sometimes productivity out weighs performance. It’s why people don’t mind playing keep away with a Mike Leach coached team. It’s highly likely that the Raider offense is going to get into the Red Zone and score a TD. Last week the Cowboys – here is a shock – ran off 8 plus minutes start the 3rd quarter. So even though this team throws a lot of interceptions (not really statistically significant because they throw a lot of passes) they also move the ball into the end zone. The other dropped balls, muffed punts and miscues are pretty rare. The one category of fumble which absolutely kills this type offense is the QB drop when hit. Again it’s a tendency thing. It’s what the defense is doing to survive the onslaught of passes. So when it happens examples – Baylor 08, Cotton Bowl 09, UT 09 & UH 09, KU 09 it’s really a killer the loss of yardage virtually guarantees a Raider punt and usually the opposition scores.

"do routine things routinely"

by centexraider on Nov 17, 2009 12:33 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Lincoln Riley just said on 104.3 that the coaching staff was up game planning until 4:30am today. I hope they came up with something good;)

by TT4EVER on Nov 17, 2009 12:36 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

The Iron Lotus Play......

Mark my words!!

" Answers -- Become Resources."
Without Questions; There are limited Resources...

by KWashburn on Nov 17, 2009 5:41 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

who’s getting decapitated?

by RdrPwr on Nov 17, 2009 6:35 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Ask Jamar, I’m thinking he may be in the know on that;) Kinda cool that he wears the same number that Dwayne Slay did.

by TT4EVER on Nov 17, 2009 6:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I never put that together...

" Answers -- Become Resources."
Without Questions; There are limited Resources...

by KWashburn on Nov 17, 2009 7:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Never thought of that. Where have these big hits been his entire career?!

by RdrPwr on Nov 17, 2009 8:53 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

That’s a good question. Maybe he knows he only has a couple games left and decided to let it all hang out. I’m not saying he has been holding back either. But maybe he just figured it out. Regardless, he has played a lot of great football for TECH, the past couple years in particular.

Too bad he didn’t get a champion ship;)

by TT4EVER on Nov 17, 2009 9:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I would like to see him return some punts and kick offs again. He was huge against Texas with that kick return and was a bad ass running back at Plainview. He should go to the NFL and hopefully do well.

by ST04 on Nov 18, 2009 9:50 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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