Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch

Taking a Breath :: Looking Ahead to the Texas Tech Offense of 2010

THE OFFENSE

With the football bye week, DTN is taking this opportunity to look at Texas Tech's offense and defense in 2010.  Up today is a look at the 2-deep, the talented players who are on the roster, but have not contributed much this year, the 2010 offensive recruiting class and a look back at the past 5 years recruits and the washout rate of players who were recruited by Texas Tech.

Who Returns (2010 Projected 2-Deep)

POSITION PLAYER STATS YEAR
LT Terry McDaniel 6-7/335 SO
Chris Olson 6-5/296 SR
LG Lonnie Edwards 6-5/290 JR
Chris Olson 6-5/296 SR
C Justin Keown 6-4/302 JR
-------
RG Mickey Okafor 6-7/319 JR
Deveric Gallington 6-4/350 JR
RT LaAdrian Waddle 6-6/350 SO
Joe King 6-6/319 SO
QB Steven Sheffield 6-4/190 SR
Taylor Potts 6-4/218 SR
RB Baron Batch 5-11/205 SR
Harrison Jeffers 5-9/204 SO
HR Tramain Swindall 6-3/180 JR
Adam James 6-3/216 JR
YR Detron Lewis 6-0/205 SR
Austin Zouzalik 6-1/181 SO
XR Lyle Leong 6-1/165 SR
Eric Ward 5-11/202 FR
ZR Alexander Torres 6-2/196 SO
Jacoby Franks 6-1/185 JR

 

So there's definitely some advantages to having so many injuries in a season. Right now, there's not any one position where there is not a returning starter on offense. Think about that for a minute. Almost the entire 2-deep has at least 1 start. If there was ever a reason to look forward to 2010 it's the offense. Right now, the offensive roster appears to be a well-rounded group, probably because of necessity. This doesn't take into account the various redshirts from the 2009 recruiting class that could step up and help and the other players that have experience, but just don't fit on the 2-deep.

Lots more after the jump.

Star-divide

Don't Sleep On:

OL: Kyle Clark (6-5/277; RS FR); Blake Emert (6-5/287; JR); and Joel Gray (6-6/306; RS FR)
WR: E.J. Celestie (5-11/174; RS FR); Aaron Fisher (6-3/182; RS FR); Derrick Mays (6-0/166; RS FR) and Cornelius Douglas (5-9/193; SO)
RB: Eric Stephens (5-8/182; SO) and Aaron Crawford (5-11/204; JR)
QB: Seth Doege (6-2/205; SO) (6-4/218; SR) and Jacob Karam (6-1/205; RS FR)

Irregardless of whether or not you like Potts or not as a player, you could probably argue that Leach might put Doege ahead of Potts on the 2-deep next year, but based on last week's results, that may not be the case.  Still, Leach is still undecided on some level and there's competition, which is good. There's really not any one position that's going to be lacking over the next few years, especially if some of the younger players develop as we expect. And I'd also add that although Scotty Young (detailed below) appears to be just a tremendous football player, I'd just like to remind everyone that Karam is traveling with the team every week. That says something about his personality and what the coaches think of him. Don't anoint Young too quickly. It's easy to get wrapped up in the new guy, but sometimes it's the least likely guy that can lead your football team and Karam had an impressive pedigree -- 3,291 yards / 38 TD's / 10 INT's (thinking of some guy named Sheffield). Let's also not forget that Ward was a 4-star receiver last year, came to Texas Tech early and I'm hoping that he can make a significant impact sooner rather than later.

Recruiting, The 2010 Class

POSITION PLAYER STATS RR STARS
QB Scotty Young 6-3/185 5.8 4
RB Delans Griffin 5-10/181 5.8 4
RB Aaron Spikes 5-10/185 5.6 3
WR Kadron Boone 6-1/190 5.8 4
WR Shawn Corker 6-1/183 5.7 3
OL Beau Carpenter 6-7/269 5.6 3
OL Eric Lawson 6-6/320 5.5 3
OL James Polk 6-7/290 5.6 3
OL Denton Simek 6-6/260 5.6 3
OL Javius Townsend 6-4/297 5.6 3
AVERAGE 5.66 3.33

 

I think it's safe to say that offensively, the class is probably finished. Leach is recruiting at every position and just about every one of these recruits are high quality players and this year, there are no 2-star players on either side of the ball, which is an upgrade in talent. If I had to guess which players receive early playing time, you should probably consider Boone and maybe Corker. Both are supremely talented I also wouldn't be surprised if Griffin gets a look as well.  I'd also imagine that considering the depth on the offensive line, all of these guys should redshirt.

Recruit Trends

YEAR AVG. RR AVG. STARS WASHOUT RATE
2010 5.66 3.33 -
2009 5.51 3.10 1/10 = 10.00%
2008 5.58 3.00 0/7 = 0.00%
2007 5.49 2.80 6/15 = 40.00%
2006 5.47 2.79 8/14 = 57.14%

 

Disclaimer:  I'm using the Rivals recruiting rankings and each player is assigned an RR number and a star. 

I probably need some explaining as the wash-out rate, which is the rate of players that either played just 1 season for Texas Tech or never really made it on campus. The reason to even judge some of these players is that the rankings can look great, but if the players do not contribute or make it on campus, then you haven't done much. I think it's also important to add that the washout rate is something that's going to happen to any college football team and the trend that you would prefer to see is the rate to be lower than it was in 2006, but I think the key is that in 2006 and in previous years, the staff had two options: take safe, but less talented athletes or take more risky, but more talented players. I think that's the reason for the high washout rate in 2006 and in 2007, however, as the team improves, I think a staff is able to recruit a higher caliber player, both personally and on the field.

Comment 14 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Eric Ward

I think this guy might be a huge impact player next year. Has very good speed and is built like a football player not a track star.

by ST04 on Nov 3, 2009 9:14 AM CST reply actions  

great information here Seth...

this is an awesome snap shot of what we have coming. Eric Ward along with Boone and Corker could be really special if those guys all hit the field in 2010. The running game couldn’t be any better either. The O-line has so much depth that I worry little about who fills in. At QB we are loaded and I agree that Karam’s traveling with the team this season can only mean Leach wants him ready and has big plans to get him in the rotation. Awesome!

One last thing: Get out and vote for Proposition 4 today Red Raiders. Our Tier One status rides on this.

by Raider1992 on Nov 3, 2009 9:29 AM CST reply actions  

Oddly enough

I happened to be reading the Dakota game program (paper was not there yet) this moring and pondering the roster. Not very many seniors…We are a very young team this year and should have a very bright future. I will be sorry to see the seniors go, but they have served the Raider Nation well.
Looking forward, we have loads of talent, and after this year a huge amount of experience at all postions.
Probably the most disturbing slot will be the DE and linebacker area. (Note: not worried about the offense at all).
oh, and regardless of who the starters are next year, I will not boo them.

by blackbeard on Nov 3, 2009 9:46 AM CST reply actions  

The ‘year’ of players in the 2-deep chart is what they will be next year. (Had to check myself)

We ought to have a good offense with lots of young talent that will carry us for several years. Just hope they gel in a hurry next season. We have TCU and UH in weeks 3 and 4. Those weeks were no fun this year (UT and UH).

I guess we’ll be looking at defense in the coming day/week. We lose quite a few starters there.

I hope this post goes through, unlike my first. SBNation is awful quirky lately. It has been really slow and locks up on me the last week or so, from home or work computers.

by TechFirst on Nov 3, 2009 10:30 AM CST reply actions  

The 'Wash Out Rate"

is very important/significant as a metric. I have always used effieciency or effectiveness, but it is the same even if written from the negative side of the equation. The graduation rate is written from the positive side of the equation ~80%. That number reflects good students, the wins / loses / well-played games reflects the athlete’s develpment, coaching, and execution. Finding guys who can do all of that, at a pretty high level, seems to be core to this staff.

I am wondering who is developing as a center. The O-line is really young (as we can see from this year’s execution and depth). This season we lost the left side of the line, next year, we lose the right side. Maybe we are better prepared for that, I still see a young group over all.

I will be very, very suprised if next year’s qb’s are anyone other than Potts and Sheffield…given no health issues. Doege is playing only because circumstances demand it…with continued injury, we would see Karam. None of this is particularly good, although, true enough, Doege is getting a world of experience. Air Raid qb’s develop fastest when one is named and gets the lion’s share of the reps. That has been the formula.

Expectations for either Karam or Young need to be essentially zero. There is way too much talent ahead of either of them. I saw Karam in HS, he was very impressive on the field as well as on the sideline. There is no doubt that Young is of similar ilk.

Ward at receiver is pretty interesting, he came in with alot of attention and high hopes, but was not able to adapt quickley enough. Perhaps Corker and Boone will be more able to do so…each one will have much to over come just getting from Florida to Lubbock, from home to dorm, from hs to a university, etc. The step from HS football to Big12 football is huge. I am looking at the current freshmen who are RS first, remember they were all well thought of when they were recruited as well.

The rb depth is sweet, very sweet. We currently have a 3 deep that is going to be incredibly difficult to crack.

by TallMike on Nov 3, 2009 10:54 AM CST reply actions  

Nice to see

all of this information all laid out in one place. Thanks for the effort Seth!!

I have high hopes for the WRs coming in next year. But I wouldn’t be shocked to see them redshirted. Obviously if they come in at a level they can contribute that’s great, but we only lose Britton this year and I have been happy with the overall performance of this year’s corps.

I’m more excited about the guys we have redshirted right now coming out of the fold and making an impact.

by jdeeTTU on Nov 3, 2009 11:32 AM CST reply actions  

I think he is

mis-identified on the official roster. He is actually a RS freshman right now. Celebrate!

Go Raiders . . .
Double-T Nation

by Seth C on Nov 3, 2009 11:59 AM CST up reply actions  

Correct

This is Alex’s first year of eligibility. He has 3 more productive years ahead of him after this year.

by jeffinhouston on Nov 3, 2009 1:34 PM CST up reply actions  

With the way our recruiting has improvedin the last 5 years, the next 5 years could see us signing the type recruits across the board that will acclimate and be ready to play much sooner than now and in the past. Our 4-stars will fall into that catagory, so those ahead of them will have to work extra hard to keep their position in the depth chart sewed up. I think Tech is at the edge now of being able to compete with the elite every year. To compete every game of every year, they MUST get by the old Tech rule-of-thumb (it seems) of losing one BAD game a year. Hopefully next year is that time.

TTpilk

by TTpilk645 on Nov 3, 2009 12:22 PM CST reply actions  

great post..hate the word Irregardless!

From Merriam: Irregardless originated in dialectal American speech in the early 20th century. Its fairly widespread use in speech called it to the attention of usage commentators as early as 1927. The most frequently repeated remark about it is that "there is no such word." There is such a word, however. It is still used primarily in speech, although it can be found from time to time in edited prose. Its reputation has not risen over the years, and it is still a long way from general acceptance. Use regardless instead.

by BBshoeshine on Nov 3, 2009 8:24 PM CST reply actions  

it is a double negative.

by NM99 on Nov 3, 2009 9:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Irregardless

It is OK to use, if there is differing quantifiable reasons for something, this word is used to begin to discuss those issues, instead of saying “Regardless of whether… this…or… that……etc., etc.”, one simply uses the one word “Irregardless”. It isn’t that bad. Sorta like using "ain’t instead of “are not”. Who cares? The point was made. Give it a rest, already.

TTpilk

by TTpilk645 on Nov 3, 2009 10:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Site Editor

Uniwatch_sethc_jersey_small Seth C

Contributing Authors

Doubletface_cropped_small djollie111

Marioche_small kayakyakr

Bossfight_small Skin Patrol

444_small Tech92

Will_rogers_small NM99

Texaslondon_small LondonRaider

150px-redraiderlogo_small DanSwany

100_0016_small RndRckTTU