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Five Reasons Texas Tech Will Win :: Houston Cougars Edition

This weekly feature considers five reasons why Texas Tech will win and five reasons Texas Tech will lose to each opponent. Related: Five Reasons Texas Tech Will Lose :: Houston Cougars Edition.

Reason #1 :: Superior Defense: The defense has been much better than expected, and having a really good offense under Texas Tech's belt, I'm starting to think that the Red Raiders may actually be what they are rather than what they have been in previous seasons. It stinks that we're dealing with a small sample size, but thus far, the defense ranks 22nd in total defense, 27th in rush defense and 39th in pass defense. The same week in 2008, after facing Eastern Washington, Nevada and SMU, the defense ranked 79th in total defense, 41st in rushing defense and 105th in pass defense. You could argue about the worth of the opponents, but I think this is the type of improvement that we can see with our eyes as the tackles are more sure, the defenders are getting into the opposing backfield with more frequency.

Star-divide

Reason #2 :: Potential to Break-Out: I've been waiting patiently all year for the running game to emerge. And we're still waiting. At some point, it's going to click. And I don't think this is a running backs issue. I think that Baron Batch will get his issues ironed out, he's too level headed not to, and we've all seen the explosiveness that Eric Stephens and Harrison Jeffers are capable of unleashing on an opponent. It's really just got to click with the offensive line, who hopefully after learning some lessons last week, will figure out that they need to be the dominant players in this game, and that there's no reason they need to take a backseat to any defensive line. They can hold their own, and I truly believe that it's just a matter of time before the running backs take advantage of an over-zealous defense and huge running lanes.

Reason #3 :: Getting Behind the Line: My recent memory isn't so good, but I cannot recall a time that the Texas Tech was doing such a tremendous job of making plays behind the opposing line of scrimmage. As a unit, the defense is 4th in the nation in tackles for a loss, which should appease those of you who constantly beg for a more aggressive defense. Well, it's here, and you may not even realize it. But it's not just the aggressive defense, I think it's also partly the fact that the players are more talented, which completely boggles the mind when you consider that 3 of the top 4 defensive ends were out for the Texas game, but still managed 8 tackles for loss, again only rushing 4 and still containing Colt McCoy and their passing game. Getting behind the line of scrimmage is great, but when you're doing it with just 3 or 4 players then someone is doing something right.

Reason #4 :: Potts Passes Test: I thought last week that QB Taylor Potts could easily crumble against the backdrop of playing in Austin, in front of the largest crowd to see a college football game in Texas. But he didn't fold and he didn't really stutter. There were still mistakes that were made, and we've talked about this too much this week, but it bears mentioning here again, that it's the physical act of picking himself off the ground, picking his team up and taking them on two touchdown drives to keep his team as close as they can be and truly being a leader. Potts has always said that he's not a vocal leader and he's not going to rah-rah his team, but I'll take Potts actually doing it during a game over the speach every day of the week. Let's also not forget that this is the same quarterback that has been accountable for his mistakes early in the season and has seemingly matured beyond his years in a mere 3 games.

Reason #5 :: Stephens on Special Teams: Was everyone else somewhat on the edge of their seats every time that Eric Stephens touched the ball on a kickoff? For those who were at the Rice game, you saw a 94 (I think) yard kickoff return that was a thing of beauty, and right now, Stephens is 20th in the nation in kickoff returns, averaging 29.50 yards a return (again, which doesn't include the called back kickoff return). The guy is absolutely electric, and perhaps Houston will be susceptible to a return considering they gave up an 82 yard punt return to OSU and Dez Bryant. Electric players make electric plays and I get the feeling that Stephens is going to be that sort of player for Texas Tech this year. If Leach & Co. wanted to really make things interesting, I'd go ahead and throw in Harrison Jeffers to pair with Stephens and would think that this combination would be really tough to beat.

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Disclaimer: I was in a huge hurry last night and this morning. It’s not my best work. Apologies in advance.

Go Raiders . . .
Double-T Nation

by Seth C on Sep 24, 2009 12:12 PM CDT reply actions  

Great thoughts

I’d like to comment on point #1:

You know I really hope Houston puts on a show for us and we soundly beat them. I’m tired of all the critics putting an asterix by our wins (and even losses) because they thought the team was overrated, or your Hesiman candidate is sick with the flu, or you apparently can’t win on the road.

I know Tech fans are sick of listening to the people who say we will never succeed in the national spotlight and will always be a team that puts up big numbers (cross reference our Big 12 ratings drop after the loss to Texas). Tech is easily a Top 25 team as the ratings sit right now and deserves more votes in the polls. This week is the chance to make a statement.

It’s a chance for the RBs to get their act together and blow out some major run yards.
It’s a chance for the defense to lay a lickin’ on another one of the nation’s top QB’s.
It’s a chance for Potts to play again the national spotlight and show the media that he is ready to lead this team to a National Championship in his tenure.

In my eyes, this game is a classic “a lot to gain, and a lot to lose.”

Wreck ’em Tech!

by LBKpiratefan on Sep 24, 2009 12:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Mistake!

Sorry I meant

“I’d like to comment on point #2”

by LBKpiratefan on Sep 24, 2009 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

It will be a National stage

We’re up against Penn State/Iowa on ABC, Notre Dame/Purdue on ESPN Uno. The Duece clearly has the most appealing game over those two matchups.

by Plano Jeff on Sep 24, 2009 12:59 PM CDT reply actions  

chance PSU/Iowa is a train wreck of a game, though. May be worth keeping an eye on just in case you get to see another team’s national title hopes crumble.

by kayakyakr on Sep 24, 2009 1:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

+1

Go Iowa!!

If you not having fun....then your not playing the game right.

by texastfan on Sep 24, 2009 3:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

Don't be so sure...

People were wondering why the Texas-Texas Tech game was chosen by collegegameday since it was an automatic blowout. Turns out we hung with the Horns and kept it close.

We might end up seeing a very close nail-bitter on Sat. night.

by Red_Raider on Sep 24, 2009 4:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

I just want to see another overranked team lose!

If you not having fun....then your not playing the game right.

by texastfan on Sep 24, 2009 4:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

Good points Seth

I especially think our Kick off returns with Stephens may get some attention Saturday night. The running game to me is a caged animal that is hungry for some attention. I like our chances against these guys.

by Raider1992 on Sep 24, 2009 1:19 PM CDT reply actions  

If I’m on this team I am totally pissed at the way the national media is looking at me. And I would come out so fired up for this game. I don’t think motivation is going to be an issue here. It’s going to be about execution. And Potts not turning it over. And the D not blowing a coverage deep. Those types of things. We have better players and we will be fired up.

by logan5555 on Sep 24, 2009 1:29 PM CDT reply actions  

Well Written !

Yes, I expect that the TTU defense is better than the UH offense and that the TTU Offense is better than the UH offense. I am more concerned with the UH offense than I am the UH defense simply because they have a great qb and a fine OC.

I am not concerned with which rb’s get into the game, we know Batch and Stephens are the best blockers and that will make the choice. All of them can run given the opportunity. I will be very surprised if Batch makes another fumble the rest of his playing time at TTU. More important than their talent is the O-line’s ability to make effective blocks and the qb’s ability to read to check to an effective play.

The maturity of the defensive tackles is apparent and is making a difference in the way the d-line plays and it is anchored by Whitlock. He is one of the finest tackles to have played at TTU and by far the best under Mike Leach. The guys who play with him bring either maturity or developing maturity based on talent. The result is strong play in the bad guy’s backfield.

Yes Potts passed the test and he is rapidly showing to be a very, very fine qb. Yes, I will say it, he may turn into the best Air Raid qb…again we see the guy coming in looking better than a guy who played before him…that reflects excellent recruiting and incredible coaching for a guy who is also driven to play at a high level of play as a qb and leader.

Stephens is explosive, he is electric and exciting. He has already broken out for a full return and will do it again before long. I am hoping the defense denies him any opportunities to do it unless it is a punt return.

I would love to see the punt and coverage teams do something special this week.

by TallMike on Sep 24, 2009 1:38 PM CDT reply actions  

D,D,D

Defense will be the difference in this game. If you looked @ the OSU/uh game uh got several balls that fell to them, and could have gone the other way. Also, I don’t understand how OSU got ranked so high just because they returned several starters, their D wasn’t good last year(remember 59-20). So the Tech D is shaping into a very crediable unit and we will punch them in the mouth and win 49-28! Wreck’Em Tech

by techgolf44 on Sep 24, 2009 4:13 PM CDT reply actions  

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