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Defensive Matchups | Oklahoma St. Cowboys Offense vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Defense

TEXAS TECH | It really wasn't until after the game that I realized that there was more than just DE Scott Smith who was not available for the game. The defense was bad, but it was also without DT Myles Wade, DT Bobby Agoucha, CB Will Ford and S Franklin Mitchem (out for the entire game, except for the first series). That's a lot of depth that's out for a track meet of a game. So my hope, especially since I think that the Oklahoma St. game will also be a track meet is that there's plenty of depth available. Overall, I think the defense will be playing on their heels quite a bit this game, but so will the OSU defense, I just think that's just the way that this game is going to play out.

So where is the Texas Tech defense, especially now that Smith and this morning we learn that DE Aundrey Barr are both out for the year? A little thin, but I think this is why DC James Willis wanted to play 25. Perhaps he saw the writing on the wall, that the Big 12 is an offensive league where offenses like to go fast. Having 25 players that have seen significant time throughout the course of the season could mean that by the time conference play heats up that there aren't many players that are going to have that "deer in headlights" look. This morning, I mentioned that we might see DE Christopher Knighton or maybe moving ILB's Bront Bird and Tyrone Sonier move to the outside to give OLB Duncan a rest. I expect a ton of plays and Duncan is going to need to get a rest so someone is going to sub in for Duncan at some point.

The defensive line should get pressure on Weeden, but it concerns me that OLB Brian Duncan may be the primary focus of the OSU offensive line.  Someone has to step up, and there seem to be plenty of players that could do so.  Whether it be DT/DE Donald Langley or DT/DE Myles Wade, I tend to think that DC Willis will give the OSU offense multiple looks along the defensive front four.  And keep in mind that Wade (I think) started against Iowa St. and was out all of last week.  Having an additional body that the staff has used at multiple spots along the line helps significantly. 

ILB Bront Bird had his best game last week and that's going to have to continue against OSU.  Bird was, and rightfully so, criticized for having a rough year thus far, but last week he was excellent stopping the run.  Bird will have his hands full with Hunter, but it wouldn't surprise me to see OLB Julius Howard be a more significant player this week, especially given the fact that he's a former safety and has a better chance to keep Hunter in front of him.  I don't think that Bird is going to leave the field and will essentially be the guy that fills the gaps once the defense goes to their assigned gaps.  Bird's ability to do what he did last week will be imperative.

All hands will be on deck for the secondary.  I talk a little bit below about the importance of the hopeful return of CB Moore, but truthfully, the entire secondary will be getting a significant workout from the OSU receivers.  OSU OC Dana Holgorsen likes to utilize quite a bit more motion and it's so important that the Texas Tech secondary is coordinated.  Last week, D.J. Johnson was burned a handful of times, as was S Cody Davis, but both of these players are better than they showed last week.  Perhaps with Ford being out all game and S Franklin Mitchem being out most of the game, it forced DC Willis to play these guys in positions that they weren't all that comfortable.  It bothers me that Mitchem continues to have problems staying on the field because of his health, but Mitchem being on the field might be as important as any other member of the secondary.

More after the jump.

Star-divide

OKLAHOMA ST. | Let's start with the guys up front for OSU. LT Nick Martinez, LG Jonathan Rush, C Grant Garner, RG Lane Taylor and RT Levy Adcock are your starters. As a group, they are helping the running game average 164.2 yards a game, good for 51st in the nation. The line is giving up 1.4 sacks a game, which is in the top third of the nation (tied for 39th) in terms of sacks allowed. I can't tell you a ton about the line, but if I remember correctly this line had a ton of attrition, especially after losing all-world LT Russell Okung. The current line will all return next year, as four of the five starters are juniors and Taylor is a sophomore.

The receiving corps is in a bit of disarray, but WR Justin Blackmon is a constant. He's averaging 9.4 receptions a game and 149.6 yards a game and we'll throw in 2 TD's a game as well. Yes, he's pretty good. I wouldn't mind Texas Tech putting two defenders on Blackmon and forcing any of the other OSU receivers to beat Texas Tech. And with the possibility that Josh Cooper (OSU's 2nd leading receiver) and Hubert Anyiam (OSU's 4th leading receiver) are the two biggest possibilities that might not see time this weekend. You can expect that Joseph Randle, Tracy Moore, Colton Chelf and Bo Bowling to pick up the pace. Chelf and Moore are both averaging over 10 yards a catch, but other than Blackmon, the only receivers that have more than 1 touchdown catch are Anyiam and Michael Harrison (also possibly out this weekend).

I love Kendall Hunter and I love watching him play. He is quick, he is fast, and his shifty, he can make people miss. He's really good at finding holes along the line of scrimmage. He can get past defenders, quickly. He's just a darn fine running back. Hunter isn't a huge receiving threat out of the backfield, only 12 receptions this year for a 3.41 YPR average. If Hunter is going to beat Texas Tech, and I think the defense would be wise to load up and try to limit the damage that Hunter does, it's going to be on the ground.

QB Brandon Weeden is a former baseball player that came back to college, is the ripe old age of 27. For those of you who remember LT Rylan Reed, he did the same thing. The interesting thing about Weeden is that he's been awfully good from the beginning. He's completing 68.9% of his passes, he's averaging 8.5 yards/attempt, which is just outstanding. The one spot that appears to be a weakness is that his touchdown to interception ration is 3:1. If you wanted to compare his interceptions per attempts, he's averaging one interception per 31 attempts and for comparison purposes, Potts is averaging one interception per 60.75 attempts. So this is Weeden's one downfall and I think it's a tough call for the Texas Tech defense. There's only so much that the defense can do and only so many players to hone their focus. Do you rush Weeden and hope that he makes a poor decision? Do you load up and stop Hunter? Do you double-team Blackmon and force Weeden and other receivers to step up their game? This is a versatile offense, much like Texas Tech's, but I do think that OSU's options are a bit more limited, especially because of the injuries to the receivers.

WR Justin Blackmon vs. CB LaRon Moore

It just seems to make sense that the most experienced cornerback will see plenty of time against OSU's most dangerous threat.  The problem of course is that Moore is coming off an injury that essentially held him out for a good part of the spring and most of this year, seeing his most significant playing time against Baylor last week.  It seems that most things with this defense will be a collective effort and would expect to see plenty of CB's Will Ford, Jarvis Phillips, Tre Porter and D.J. Johnson, but given Johnson's struggles against Baylor's deep threat, it wouldn't surprise me in the least to see Moore make a run at Blackmon for a good part of the game.

KERRY HYDER
Position Defensive End
Year RS Freshman
Height/Weight 6-3/265
Stats 5 Tackles | 1.0 TFL | 1.0 Sacks

With the suspension of DE Scott Smith, Hyder has some big shoes to fill.  Granted, he won't have to do all of the heavy lifting, and as mentioned above, DC Willis will probably use more than a handful of players that try to fill Smith's void.  Hyder will get the start and it's imperative that he, at the very least, play smart gap-control football.  Don't let anything go outside and keep your man in front of you.  I can't imagine that Hyder will be able to do what Smith did, but Hyder was a fairly athletic player (he dunked in high school) coming out of LBJ high school in Austin.  Not the most highly recruited player.  Bottom line, Hyder has to be productive on the field and give DC Willis a handful of productive plays.

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The D is gone to have to force turnovers and stop the big plays but most importantly, no mistakes.

by Techcuz on Oct 14, 2010 10:23 AM CDT reply actions  

Run-Blitz!!!!!!!

That should be the staple of the Day……stop Hunter and if Weeden passes then this would also allow pressure to be brought…..IMO limit Hunter, make Weeden beat TTU cause I don’t think he can!!!! Wreck’Em Tech

by techgolf44 on Oct 14, 2010 10:55 AM CDT reply actions  

Turnovers

Weeden is prone to throw Interceptions when pressured so if we can at least force a few I think we are in good shape. It’s going to be a another scorefest and I expect our offense to bring their “A” game since we haven’t seen that at home yet. IMO this game falls on Willis and his ability to prepare this defense “Ruffin style” as we witnessed against NU last season. These coaches need to earn their keep this week.

"You've got to find your inner pirate" - Mike Leach

by Raider1992 on Oct 14, 2010 10:56 AM CDT reply actions  

This is the first of many weeks ahead where DC earns his living.

Tech’s Bend But Don’t Break Defense was serviceable the past two years under RM. Leach believed that these were 18-22 year old kids, and that sooner or later they would make a mistake. Other than the top 10 teams, given the personnel we had, Bend But Don’t Break worked well for us.

One of the things I was looking forward to this year was a Defense that would make adjustments, both in personnel and strategy from game to game. I watched some spring ball and I was really excited watching Willis all over the field. This week its time for DC to earn his living.

We have seen our offense start to turn a corner, and now it is time for the Defense to show what they have and turn the corner. I want to see run blitzes, I want to see eight men in the box, I want to see safties and corners putting QB on his ass, I want to see an aggressive defense that forcers TO’s and puts points on the board. I want to see man to man and zone coverage. I want to see Tech’s Defense get standing ovations coming off the field.

I know I am ahead of myself in predictions this week, but I am feeling very good this week. I have sober now for three days. Tech offense is going to put up 42 points, and the defense is going to force three key TO’s, and hold OK Copy Cat State to 35 little one. Another Red Raider First Down.

OK State is everything we were in the past. it is well chronciled how they

"I spent 18 months, off and on, with the script writer. I might as well have not spent one second with him." Don Haskins.

by Btech on Oct 14, 2010 11:48 AM CDT reply actions  

Red Zone chances is the key

The defensive matchup hinges on whether or not any Tech defender or combination thereof can make a third down stop. Much like last week you have a situation where the defense in particular has no option, they have to stop what the opponent likes to do. OSU likes to have the QB in a clean pocket and K. Hunter getting 5 yards a pop on 2nd and short. (under 4). The defense allowed Baylor to put them in bad way on 50 % of their scoring drives i.e. 3rd and long and then allowed an escaping receiver to get the 8, 11, 15 yards required to keep their drive alive. In the last 2 Baylor drives as has been written about in the post game threads the Tech defense just got a break because RGIII is not quite as accurate as Brandon Weeden. Recall that RGIII hit receivers in the hands in the end zone, out of bounds or just outside their reach 3 times. You won’t get the same level of inaccuracy from what I have seen in tense moments from a Dana Holgerson coached QB. The all important Red Zone opportunities will be cashed in. So what do you do? Well the Jeep has to get 2- 3 big plays from the down linemen before the Cowpokes reach the 20 yard line. It really doesn’t matter what flavor it takes on. Tipped pass, pull on Weedens arm or sack him. If they screw around and let OSU stay on the field more than 6-9 plays statistically its going to be score. I will go so far as to say we just want Field goals surrendered. I wrote about this 7 months ago when comparing the Off and Def Coordinators across the field D. Holgerson is a Leach Clone & the supporting offensive cast is 2 x grades better than what Houston Cougars fielded. Techs defense must Collapse the pocket; push K. Hunter into the OLBs lanes DB’s play zone coverage or as Seth suggested double up on Mr. Anyiam or Mr. Blackmon. Play great special teams. Because whoever gets the most Red Zone chances is going to out gun / outscore the other guy.

"do routine things routinely"

by centexraider on Oct 14, 2010 11:52 AM CDT reply actions  

Love Holgerson but.....

with CopyCat state he actually prefers the running game cause he has Hunter….so not so much on the Leach clone thing right now…he also uses motion more than Leach and I really like that…everything being equal I do wish he would have been picked as our OC but the Mad Scientist JR is coming along and I hope he continues the mix of calls and uses the whole playbook(i.e. inside/outside WR screens, shuttle passes, dump/swing passes to RB’s, etc). Again I say Run Blitz, Run Blitz, and Run Blitz. Back in ‘08 Ruff shut down the run and Dez(remember he caught that nite the number of passes that were on his jersey.#1) was covered so The Jeep should go look @ that tape and use that as a base and add in his own twist….Make Weeden beat TTU…If that happens I like Potts chances of shreding the CopyCat State D! Wreck’ Em Tech

by techgolf44 on Oct 14, 2010 2:26 PM CDT reply actions  

Omission of Discussion of the Onsides Kick

This is a key facet of all recent Texas Tech games. Can the Red Raiders execute the onsides kick or will OSU become the record breaking third team in a row to score on the Raiders. Clearly, after the coin flip, Tech’s strategy must be to defer or make OSU pay for trying to play offense. The onsides kicking gods must be tested; and, our boys must put up or be put up on You Tube for a third consecutive week. I’m dying from the anticiiiiii-
pation. Guns up!

by EPRAIDER82 on Oct 14, 2010 4:14 PM CDT reply actions  

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